Beijing Sets The Pace

The Supply Times Issue #99

Hello, dear readers!

Yesterday, Donald Trump used “The Beast” to drive through the streets of Beijing. Sure, the heavily armored presidential limousine was necessary for security, but it’s a shame he didn’t get closer to some of China’s newest EVs, because Chinese automakers have turned the global automotive hierarchy upside down. In this issue, I look at why "China speed" is the only metric that matters in 2026, and how Western brands are desperately trying to find their second gear before they are permanently pushed to the passenger seat.

Also, a massive piece of research into retail workforce data has revealed the secret to arresting the eye-watering levels of employee churn: localized policy. Read on to discover why the centralized, top-down approach often improves retention in one region but causes workers to quit in another. 

This issue features the usual bunch of AI Insights and recommendations for the week's podcasts, books, shows, charts, and tweets, followed by a final chuckle.

Let’s get going.

Image: Beijing Auto Show

Industry Highlights: American automakers need “China speed”

The sight of American automotive executives hunched over Mandarin textbooks might have seemed like a joke a decade ago, but today it is a survival tactic. 

As Donald Trump met with Chinese leadership in Beijing yesterday, he arrived in a nation that has fundamentally rewritten the rules of the road. While the politicians talk about soybeans and aircraft, the real story is playing out in the automotive research labs and factory floors of cities like Hefei. For the old giants of Detroit and Europe, the message is clear: China is dominating global vehicle production and sales. 

China speed

The defining characteristic of this new landscape is a phenomenon known as "China speed." 

In the legacy automotive world, developing a new car is a marathon of bureaucracy that takes anywhere from 40 to 80 months. China has obliterated that timeline. Through deep vertical integration and a software-first approach, Chinese firms are taking electric vehicles from concept to driveway in just 24 months.

Around 180 new cars were on display at the most recent Beijing motor show, which was (tellingly) twice as large as the 2024 event. Western journalists who attended the motor show were writing headlines like this:

Even Tesla, once the undisputed disruptor of the industry, is finding the pace punishing. While Musk remains a symbol of innovation in China, his company recently fell out of the top 10 in monthly retail sales as local rivals like BYD and Geely surged ahead. 

Moving the research needle

Foreign carmakers are realizing that designing cars in Europe or the United States for a global audience has had its day. To keep up, they are moving their brains to where the heart of the market is. Volkswagen launched a massive R&D facility in Hefei specifically to engineer vehicles at a pace 30% faster than they can manage in Europe. Mercedes-Benz, too, is expanding its research presence in China, with its leadership admitting that the innovation speed found there must eventually spread to its operations worldwide.

This shift is a response to a brutal loss of territory. The market share of foreign firms in China has cratered, dropping from a position of dominance to around 30% in 2025. Meanwhile, China has surged past Japan to become the world’s largest car exporter, shipping over eight million vehicles abroad in 2025 alone.

The partnership trap

Desperate to close the gap, older brands are looking for a younger Chinese partner to help them navigate the EV transition. Volkswagen is allying with XPeng and Horizon Robotics. Toyota is leaning on tech giants like Huawei and Tencent, along with gadget maker Xiaomi. There are even whispers that Ford is talking to Geely about sharing technology to build vehicles in European factories.

There is a massive risk here. By relying on Chinese firms for the software and brains of their cars, legacy manufacturers may find themselves pushed to the passenger seat. If a Toyota or a Chevrolet relies on Huawei for its identity, the unique value of the original brand begins to vanish. 

These companies are effectively funding their own competitors by paying licensing fees to the very rivals currently eating their market share in Europe, Mexico, and Southeast Asia.

A culture of long hours

Matching China’s speed is a difficult task because it requires a complete overhaul of corporate DNA. It is a mindset built on long hours and a total focus on software-infused EVs. While Western CEOs argue they cannot match this speed because they refuse to compromise on safety and testing, the market is moving regardless. 

Reason for optimism

While the current landscape looks daunting, the race is far from over. Western manufacturers still hold a massive advantage in global brand loyalty, safety testing, and mechanical reliability. By establishing R&D hubs in China, they are effectively treating the region as a high-pressure training camp to toughen up their global operations. Volkswagen’s record-breaking product offensive of 20 smart electric vehicles this year shows that legacy giants can indeed learn to move at China speed when the stakes are high.

The automotive industry has evolved beyond its traditional roots in mechanical engineering and petrol power, yet the legacy players are proving they can adapt. Success belongs to those who can blend Western quality standards with the urgency of Chinese software iteration. 

Can they recapture the ground they’ve lost? The pace is currently being set in Beijing, but the world’s oldest carmakers are finally finding their second gear.

The Future of Work: Arresting retail worker churn with the power of local data

For years, the corporate playbook for managing a workforce has followed a classic command-and-control setup. Headquarters dreams up a single set of rules that might include fixed notice periods or a ban on “clopenings” ( openings that happen right after a closing shift). They push these out to every store to keep things uniform. 

This makes sense on paper, but the data has proven otherwise. A massive new study featured in HBR suggests it is time to toss that playbook in the shredder.

By digging into 280 million shifts across 20 major retail chains, University of Pennsylvania researchers found that one-size-fits-all mandates are often too blunt to actually work. The companies successfully winning the war on turnover are the ones ditching rigid corporate scripts for localized, data-driven policy.

The failure of the universal script

The old-school centralized model operates on the assumption that every frontline worker quits for the same reasons. Corporate leaders usually pick one fix, like giving more advance notice on schedules, and assume it will stop the bleeding everywhere. The HBR data shows that this is false. In some stores, an extra week of notice makes a huge difference in keeping people around. In others, it has almost zero impact.

A corporate office simply cannot account for the reality that a busy grocery store in a rural town faces totally different pressures than a high-end boutique in a coastal city. When HQ makes a blanket decision, it often solves a problem in one zip code while accidentally starting a fire in another.

Getting precise with local intel

The study suggests a better way: use the workforce data you already have to find out exactly what is bothering people at specific sites. By looking at five key areas (consistency, predictability, control, fatigue, and fairness), companies can pinpoint what is driving staff out the door at a particular location.

The results were eye-opening. On the coasts, fairness is a massive deal. This is likely because of local work culture and new labor laws. Meanwhile, in the Midwest and South, workers care way more about consistency in their weekly routines. A localized strategy lets a manager in Chicago focus on keeping shifts steady. At the same time, a manager in Los Angeles can focus on making sure everyone gets an equitable share of the preferred shifts. This kind of precision lets you fix what is broken without wasting money on broad policies that do not matter to half your staff.

Putting the power back in the store

Moving toward localized data makes the store manager's job more important than ever. In the old system, a manager was basically a hall monitor for corporate rules. In this new, data-backed world, the manager becomes a strategic leader.

The data, for example, might reveal that a lack of rest is a major turnover risk at a specific store. Only the person on the ground has the context to handle it correctly. They know which team members are hunting for overtime to pay the bills and which ones are on the verge of burning out. Localization gives managers the green light to balance the numbers with human empathy.

The competitive edge of flexibility

This research proves that treating your entire workforce like a monolith ignores the diverse needs of real people. The companies that come out on top will be the ones that see scheduling as a series of local experiments rather than a static corporate formula. 

Counter-intuitively, the fastest way to get everyone on the same page is to stop trying to write the same page for everyone.

AI Insights

  • Google and SpaceX explore orbital data center partnership: Google is in talks with SpaceX to launch orbital data centers as both companies race to move computing power into space. This potential partnership comes as SpaceX prepares for a historic IPO and positions space-based hardware as a solar-powered solution to Earth's land and energy constraints.

  • Amazon staff game "tokenmaxxing" metrics: Amazon employees are reportedly inflating AI usage by running unnecessary tasks through an internal tool called MeshClaw to meet aggressive corporate adoption targets. This "tokenmaxxing" trend emerged after the company began tracking token consumption on leaderboards.

  • Meta staff revolting over spyware: Workers at Meta are pushing back against invasive new software that tracks their every mouse click and movement to feed the company’s AI training models. Describing their offices as "employee data extraction factories," staffers have flooded buildings with protest flyers and petitions to reclaim their digital privacy from their own employer.

The Supply Aside

As the legendary Omar Little famously warned in The Wire, an attempt on the crown requires absolute precision because there are no second chances. When You Come at the King is a gripping legal history that examines the evolution of the Special Counsel over the last fifty years, where that very principle is tested in the highest courts of the land. CNN legal analyst Elie Honig draws on dozens of firsthand interviews to reveal the behind-the-scenes tension that occurs when a prosecutor is tasked with investigating U.S. presidents from Nixon to Trump. 

What Else I’m Reading

  • No one cares about your GPA (and other real-world advice): Tough-love advice for new graduates from Callum Borchers. Once you enter the workforce, employers prioritize your ability to solve problems, collaborate with teams, and learn from failure. They really don’t care about your GPA. And why don’t young people reply to emails?!

  • OpenAI staff cash in on AI lottery ticket: OpenAI employees have collectively netted $6.6 billion by selling shares back to the company, with dozens of staffers walking away with $30 million each. This unprecedented level of pre-IPO wealth is fueling a new class of millionaires in San Francisco, driven by a skyrocketing valuation that has grown over 100-fold in just seven years.

  • AI cyber-warfare enters perilous new phase: The release of hyper-capable AI models like Anthropic’s Mythos and OpenAI’s 5.5-Cyber has triggered an asymmetric arms race between hackers and defenders. While these tools help firms identify vulnerabilities at record speeds, they also enable lone attackers to execute complex breaches that once required entire teams of hackers.

📺 Watch - Join or Die

Join or Die is an urgent but surprisingly optimistic documentary that investigates how we can fix America’s civic life. Using legendary social scientist Robert Putnam’s research as a guide, the film argues that our decline in "social capital" (the value found in clubs, leagues, and local groups) is the root cause of our current loneliness epidemic and political instability.

The film champions small-scale connection as a radical act, showcasing modern groups like bike collectives and fraternal lodges to prove that simply "joining in" is all we need to keep a democracy from falling apart.

Image: Enzo Ferrari

This Acquired episode provides a brilliant deconstruction of how Ferrari evolved from a small, tragedy-prone racing outfit into one of the most paradoxically valuable businesses in history. The episode is a masterclass in luxury strategy, illustrating how founder Enzo Ferrari leveraged his lack of interest in mass-market cars to cultivate a myth of extreme exclusivity and desire. Did you know:

  • Ferrari ships fewer cars in a year (approx. 14,000) than Toyota sells every 10 hours, yet it maintains a higher market capitalization than industry giants like Ford, Volkswagen, and Mercedes-Benz?

  • Around 80% of new Ferraris are earmarked for existing owners, meaning the company chooses its customers as much as they choose the brand, allowing for less than 3,000 new customers globally each year?

  • The iconic prancing horse logo was gifted to Enzo by the parents of a fallen WWI fighter ace, Francesco Baracca, who used it as a good luck charm on his plane?

🧠 Think: Pageantry vs. Progress

The most interesting part of the Trump-Xi summit was not trade, Taiwan, or AI. It was the venue. Xi Jinping walking Donald Trump through Beijing’s Temple of Heaven was not random diplomacy. That place was built centuries ago to symbolize imperial authority and cosmic order. Chinese emperors went there to project stability, legitimacy, and control. Xi knew exactly what message he was sending.

 And Trump, to his credit, understands optics better than almost any modern politician. So both leaders got what they wanted. Xi projected strength and historical grandeur at home. Trump got imagery he can sell as proof of global stature and dealmaking. But underneath the choreography, the relationship still feels pretty transactional and seriously competitive. Taiwan remains radioactive. AI is becoming the next arms race. And both sides increasingly view the relationship through a zero-sum lens.

 That is what stood out to me. In modern geopolitics, symbolism increasingly fills the space where trust once lived. Pageantry buys time. It does not buy progress.

Charts of the Week

Quote of the Week

“You don’t get to have a meaningful career, raise a family, or leave the world a better place without stress and discomfort. Discomfort is the price of admission to a meaningful life.”

- Susan David, Ph.D.

Tweet of the Week

The Final Chuckle

Pure ProcurementLearn how leading procurement organizations leverage technology to get transformative results

Thanks so much for reading. I’d love to know what you think about this issue and how I can make it more useful to you. If you have suggestions or topics you want to see me address, email me at [email protected]!

-- Naseem